Fri 11-03-2022
Hi everyone, hope you are all great.
So... Let's get into it...
USDJPY
Weekly Chart is showing Wave (1) could be completed now that the price has crossed the upper long-term trendline...
A rise from the lower trend line, after the this long-term correction, under the current count,
suggests the beginning of the start of Wave (1) of a long-term raise.
And now, after a short corrective Wave (2), the price is looking to continue on Wave (3)...
Daily Chart is showing Wave (1) completed... then Wave (2) completed a correction up to the %38 retracement of Wave (1)...
and now the price raising above the highest point of Wave (1), suggesting Wave (3) underway, with its internal Wave (i) likely completed... and internal Wave (ii) completed too...
4Hour Chart is showing Wave (ii) possibly completed within the current Range...
(at the %38 retracement...)
Lets see this Range's breakout direction to confirm Wave (iii) continuation...
60Min Chart shows the price still within the Range so watch out for the breakout of the current Range...
...up for Wave iii, in current count...
EURUSD
Weekly Chart is showing an extended Wave C(red) of Wave (C) of Wave [B] now showing to be completed...
And also showing signs of the price reverting into a down Trend as it headed down impulsively across the EMAs,
after a sharp corrective Wave [ii]...
Notice how the price has confirmed Wave [iii] as it has crossed the lowest of Wave [i] and reached its 161.8 extension...
Current reaction to the long-term Trendline(blue) was something interesting... and has form Wave [iv] correction, as expected...
And the price looks to be piercing through the long-term Trendline(blue) to continue with Wave [v]...
Daily Chart; Since Wave C(red) was completed, the price has temporally crossed the 200EMA and lower Trendline for the potential of a new long-term Trend to the downside... as Wave [i], Wave [ii], Wave [iii], Wave [iv] are looking completed...
Wave [iii] seems to have made strong impulsive moves...
We were expecting further downside moves after corrective Wave [iv] is completed... and that seems to be happening now... Wave [v] is on...
4Hour Chart is showing Wave [iv] brought the price up and sideways in a complex corrective fashion...
And now Wave [v] developing as the price broke out of the Range to the downside again...
60Min Chart is showing Wave (iii) and Wave iv (of Wave [v]) completed...
Let's wait to see where the price goes next to confirm Wave (v) on the way...
GBPUSD
Weekly chart shows an extended Wave (4) correction crossing the EMAs in a rather struggling way...
Although the price has started coming down lower to follow Wave (5), as per current count...
Regardless of the direction, the moves still look weak and corrective... and for Wave (5) I would expect rather more impulsive moves to the downside...
(Note Alternate #1 for a possible larger Wave (4) developing...)
Daily Chart is showing the Wave C(red) completing Wave (4)...
Next, if this count is correct, we should expect the price to continue the moves down impulsively for Wave (5)...
so for the current count to work the price still needs to complete the breakout of the now descending Range formation (yellow) to the downside...
And for this Wave (5) there could be a series of Waves 1 -2 forming to the downside...
4Hour Chart shows the price broke out of the current Range, which triggered an alternate count which I marked as now forming Waves (i) and (ii) of Wave 3(blue)... best seen in the Daily Chart...
Wave (ii) reached the %85 retracement of its Wave (i)... although moves to the downside continued afterwards...
And the count remains valid as Wave (iii) seems to have created its initial internal Waves i and ii...
watch out for further moves to the downside, as the current count suggests...
60Min Chart is showing the price moving impulsivelly down again within an Descending Range... watch out for its breakout (to the downside for the current count to continue)
All the best for everyone and please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or comments.
Andres
info@tradingwaves.org
Please be aware: that these Analysis are own opinions, not Trading advice; Trading carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.