TradingWaves | Elliot Waves Analysis | Price

Chart Analysis

Fri 04-12-2020



Hi everyone, hope you are all great.

So... Let's get into it...


USDJPY


Weekly Chart is showing a quick raise in Wave C(red) to complete Wave (D), seems like another drop for Wave (E) is still targeting 
the lower triangle trendline, to complete this long term correction...

A rise from the lower trend line, after the this long-term correction, under the current count,
would suggest the beginning of the start of Wave (1) of a long-term raise.

(a drop across the %50 retracement would favor Alternate #1 count for an extended Wave (C) correction towards the %62)





Daily Chart is showing the current Wave (E) could still be continuing towards the lower trend line and possibly to match 
previous lows (of Wave B(Red)).

Although the latest raise showed to be quite impulsive and could have signal the start (or soon to be the start) of the new Trend up...

The moves continue to be corrective in nature overall, and still below the EMAs, so I wouldn't start long positions until
the price raises higher impulsively for the start of the new trend up described in the Weekly Chart.




4Hour Chart is showing that there has been a clear 5 waves move that could have completed Wave v (...of Wave (v) of Wave C(Red) Of Wave (E) of Wave [B]).

And the latest impulsive raise could be the initial Wave i of the new Trend up...

And its potential corrective Wave ii is now lingering at the 0 retracement area...
(any moves further below would suggest an extended Wave v)

Watch for the potential Wave ii to confirm completion, or the start confirmation of
Wave iii (when the price crosses the high of current Wave i)...




60Min Chart shows the 5 Waves in this impressive and explosive move up that should have completed Wave i

And since then the price moved in a corrective way to what should be Wave ii extending and stalling at around the 0 level.

If this count does not get invalidated, then the latest move and retracement should be Waves 1 & 2 (blue)...
So watch for Wave 3(blue) of Wave iii to start as soon as Wave 2(blue) confirms completed (i.e. breaking current Market Structure).








EURUSD



Weekly Chart is showing an extended Wave C(red) now at nearly completion of just its internal Wave [v] 
to potentially make a last high.

Notice the Alternate #2 for more extensive correction of long-term Wave [B] to have in mind.





Daily Chart is showing Wave C(red) almost completed with only Wave [v] to confirm completion
to make for an extended Flat correction, as it broke out of the internal Range and 
now is above the upper side of the long-term triangle formation (blue trend line).

Wave [iv] confirmed completion above the blue Trend line and 200EMA
And now Wave [v] has Raised impulsively to eventually complete Wave C(Red)...




4Hour Chart is showing Wave 3(blue) of Wave iii could have found a top.

If that is the end of Wave 3(blue) we should expect Wave 4(blue) to bring the price down in a corrective way, possibly towards the 200EMA.




60Min Chart is showing how Wave 3(blue) could have been completed as the price it is breaking to the downside through
a small Range formation and the 50EMA.

This breakout could lead to the start of Wave 4(blue) heading towards the 200EMA.








GBPUSD


Weekly chart shows an extended Wave (4) correction hitting and rejecting the 200EMA to 
potentially put an end to this correction rally, although the price has crossed the 200EMA again...

At this point the price could start coming down lower to start Wave (5) or continue higher as Alternate #1 suggests.

(Note Alternate #1 for a possible larger Wave (4) developing across the 200EMA).





Daily Chart is showing the Wave C(red) completing Wave (4) in what should then be a false breakout 
of this long term triangle formation (blue long-term trendline). 

Next, if this count is correct, we should expect the price to continue the moves down impulsively for Wave (5)




4Hour Chart shows Wave (4) correction extended and lingering at the upper trendline of the current Range formation.

Next, I would wait for the price to confirm the start of Wave (5), before committing to short positions.
(i.e. breaking current Market Structure (blue trendline))

If this is a false breakout the moves could start bringing the price down impulsively.




60Min Chart is showing the price lingering at the top trendline mentioned in the H4 description
and the price still above the EMAs.

Watch for Wave 1(blue) of Wave i of Wave (i) to start bringing impulsive moves with a target towards the lower trend line (blue)
breaking the current Market Structure (yellow trend line).

If this is a false breakout the moves could start bringing the price down impulsively.






All the best for everyone and please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or comments.

Andres

info@tradingwaves.org



Please be aware: that these Analysis are own opinions, not Trading advice; Trading carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.