TradingWaves | Elliot Waves Analysis | Price

Chart Analysis

Fri 21-08-2020



Hi everyone, hope you are all great.


Let's get into it...


USDJPY


Weekly Chart is showing how a completed Wave B(red) of Wave (D) has reached the %50 retracement of 
the 5 waves raised up to year 2015;

And,  after a quick raise in Wave C(red) to complete Wave (D), seems like another drop for Wave (E) has targeted 
the lower triangle trendline, to complete this long term correction. 

A breakout of this long-term triangle, after the correction under the current count,
would suggest the beginning of the start of Wave (1) of a long-term raise.

(a drop across the %50 retracement would favor Alternate #1 count for an extended Wave (C) correction towards the %62)





Daily Chart is showing the current Wave (E) now completed, after the last impulsive move up.

(where Waves [a] and [b] showed 3 internal waves and Wave [c] shown 5 internal waves move
for an expanded flat correction)

So the price is now moving up, although still within the internal range(yellow).




4Hour Chart showing Waves i and ii completed and Wave iii aiming at crossing the upper trendline(yellow)
while the price is now sitting on top of the 50EMA & 200EMA.




60Min Chart shows the internal waves of Wave ii most likely completed.

While the price is also sitting on top of the 200EMA at this timeframe for a potential raise higher to 
staert Wave 3(blue) of Wave iii.








EURUSD


Weekly Chart is showing how previously marked Alternate #1 has been triggered for an extended Wave 2(red)
now hanging around the %62 retracement of Wave 1(red).

Notice the Alternate #2 for more extensive correction of long-term Wave [b] to have in mind, although unlikely.





Daily Chart is showing Wave 2(red) reaching the %62 retracement in the form of 5 waves
to make for an extended Flat correction, as it broke out of the internal Range and now is above the upper side of the long-term triangle formation.

Next, I would expect signs for the start of Wave 3(red) with impulsive waves down.




4Hour Chart is showing Wave [v] of Wave 2(red) being extended with 5 internal Waves that 
could have completed at the %62 retracement of Wave 1(red).

Next, once Wave 2(red) correction is confirmed completed, we should expect Wave 3(red) to start
bringing the price lower across the 200EMA and previous support levels.

So watch for a break of the current market structure creating lower highs and lower lows...

And the latest price drop could have just made the initial Wave (i) on the way down.
Once the current potential Wave (ii) confirms completed should lead the way for Wave (iii) to 
break the market structure (to lower lows and lower highs) and bring the price down impulsively.




60Min Chart is showing Wave 2(red) rallying in its internal Wave [v] might have come to an end
with the latest drop in price; which could be the first 5 internal waves of Wave (i) of Wave [i] of Wave 3(red)... for a long way down...

Next, watch for completion of Wave (ii) correction and then the Wave (iii) to confirm the change of trend down...








GBPUSD


Weekly chart shows the updated count for an extended Wave (4) correction hitting the 200EMA to 
potentially put an end to this correction rally.

At this point the price could start coming down lower to start Wave (5) or continue higher as Alternate #1 suggests.

Note Alternate #1 for a possible larger Wave (4) developing across the 200EMA.





Daily Chart is showing the Wave C(red) completing Wave (4) in what should then be a false breakout 
of this long term triangle formation. 

Next, if this count is correct, we should expect the price to start the moves down impulsively for Wave (5) towards the lower trendline.




4Hour Chart shows the internal waves of the last leg of Wave (4) possibly completed.

So next, as per current count, expect the price to start the drop forming series of 5 waves down crossing through the EMAs.

A break of the current Market Structure would confirm the new Trend down (lower highs and lower lows).




60Min Chart just shows more in detailed the potential end of Wave (4)...
but the start of Wave (5) yet to be confirmed... with series of lower highs and lower lows...

The current drop below the 200EMA could be the initial Wave 1(blue).
So if the next corrective Wave 2(blue) confirms completed and then the price breaks through the lows of Wave 1(blue)
we could confirm the break of the current Market Structure and Wave 3(blue) starting the new trend down.







All the best for everyone and please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or comments.

Andres

info@tradingwaves.org



Please be aware: that these Analysis are own opinions, not Trading advice; Trading carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.