Fri 31-07-2020
Hi everyone, hope you are all great.
Let's get into it...
USDJPY
Weekly Chart is showing how a completed Wave B(red) of Wave (D) has, again, reached the %50 retracement of
the 5 waves raised up to year 2015;
And, after a quick raise in Wave C(red) to complete Wave (D), seems like another drop for Wave (E) has targeted
the lower triangle trendline, to complete this long term correction.
A breakout of this long-term triangle, after the correction under the current count,
would suggest the beginning of the start of Wave (1) of a long-term raise.
(a drop across the %50 retracement would favor Alternate #1 count for an extended Wave (C) correction towards the %62)
Daily Chart is showing the current Wave (E) now most likely completed, after the last impulsive move up.
(where Waves [a] and [b] showed 3 internal waves and Wave [c] shown 5 internal waves move
for an expanded flat correction)
4Hour Chart showing the latest 5 waves completing the internal waves of Wave (E).
Now we should expect the first wave up to show a corrective move that should lead to the first Wave iii,
if this is the expected move up as per current count.
60Min Chart shows a very impulsive move that could already have 5 internal waves,
so we could expect a corrective Wave ii to develop, before the price continues raising again for Wave iii.
EURUSD
Weekly Chart is showing how previously marked Alternate #1 has been triggered for an extended Wave 2(red)
now reaching almost %50 retracement of Wave 1(red).
Notice the Alternate #2 for more extensive correction of long-term Wave [b] to have in mind, although unlikely.
Daily Chart is showing Wave 2(red) reaching the %62 retracement in the form of 5 waves
to make for an extended Flat correction, as it broke out of the internal Range and now is very close to the upper side of the long-term triangle formation.
Next, I would expect the start of Wave 3(red) with impulsive waves down.
4Hour Chart is showing Wave [v] of Wave 2(red) being extended with 5 internal Waves that
could have completed at the %62 retracement of Wave 1(red).
Next, once Wave 2(red) correction is confirmed completed, we should expect Wave 3(red) to start
bringing the price lower across the 200EMA and previous support levels.
So watch for a break of the current market structure creating lower highs and lower lows...
60Min Chart is showing Wave 2(red) rallying in its internal Wave [v] might have come to an end
with the latest drop in price; which could be the first internal Wave (i) of Wave [i] of Wave 3(red).
Next, watch for a retracement for a possible Wave (ii) correction and then the Wave (iii) to confirm the change of trend down...
GBPUSD
Weekly chart shows the updated count for an extended Wave (4) correction hitting the 200EMA to
potentially put an end to this correction rally.
At this point the price could start coming down lower to start Wave (5) or continue higher as Alternate #1 suggests.
Note Alternate #1 for a possible larger Wave (4) developing across the 200EMA.
Daily Chart is showing the Wave C(red) completing Wave (4) in what should then be a false breakout
of this long term triangle formation.
Next, if this count is correct, we should expect the price to start the moves down impulsively for Wave (5) towards the lower trendline.
4Hour Chart shows the internal waves of the last leg of Wave (4) possibly completed.
So next, as per current count, expect the price to start the drop forming series of 5 waves down.
60Min Chart just shows more in detailed the potential end of Wave (4)...
but the start of Wave (5) yet to be confirmed... with series of lower highs and lower lows...
All the best for everyone and please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or comments.
Andres
info@tradingwaves.org
Please be aware: that these Analysis are own opinions, not Trading advice; Trading carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.