TradingWaves | Elliot Waves Analysis | Price

Chart Analysis

Fri 17-04-2020



Hi everyone, hope you are all ok.


Let's get into it...


USDJPY


Weekly Chart is showing how a completed Wave (E) has reached the %50 retracement of 
the 5 waves raised up to year 2015;

A breakout of this long-term triangle, after the correction under the current count,
would suggest the beginning of the start of Wave (1) of a long-term raise.

(a drop towards the lower trendline would favor Alternate #2 count)

Bearing in mind that;
 * The Alternate#1 count for an extended set of Waves (D) and (E)
 * The Alternate#2 count for an extended Wave (C)



Daily Chart is showing Wave (E) completed with a extremely quick drop and an equally quick rise that followed up into the 
triangle top again to form 3 possible waves; Wave 1(red), Wave 2(red) and Wave 3(red) that later was rejected at 111.404 resistance
to form Wave [iv] or Wave 4(red) as per Alternate #1 count; which might also be completed as of now....
Making the last set of waves of Wave 3(red) on its way up.

Next we should expect Wave 3(red) to complete across the upper long term trendline through a series of impulsive waves.



4Hour Chart shows a possibly completed Wave [iv] and now a rally up for Wave [v] to
cross the highest of Wave [iii] towards the trendline.

Alternate #1 shows a count for Wave A(red) completed and an expected rally up for Wave B(red)
before the price targets the lower trendline instead.
(a drop lower than Wave (i) 0 retracement would trigger this count)

Alternate #4 Caters for an extended Wave B(red) to complete around near the 110.000 price range.



60Min Chart shows in more detail the internal waves of the developing Wave [v],
where its internal Waves (i) and (ii) could now be completed to aim higher.







EURUSD


Weekly Chart, under the current interpretation,
 shows a Wave 2(red) crossing slightly over the %62 retracement of Wave 1(red)
and now a sharp move down to start Wave 3(red).

Notice the Alternate counts #1 & #2 for extended corrections to have in mind.



Daily Chart is showing Wave [ii] possibly completed after a rejection at close to the %62 retracement of Wave [i].

Further impulsive waves down will give more weight to the probability of Wave [iii] start.

Although, as per Alternate #2, there is a possibility for Wave [ii] to make an extended correction
and target the upper trendline again.



4Hour Chart is showing Wave [ii] correction possibly completed and now looking for price drop continuation
into Wave [iii] of Wave 3(red)... with its internal Wave (ii) also possibly completed.

Although a breakout of the current channel formation to the upside would determine whether the Alternate #2 count gets triggered. 



60Min Chart is showing more in detail the internal Waves of Wave (ii) possibly completed at this point and a move lower that,
although has not shown to be very impulsive, could be the start of Wave (iii).







GBPUSD


Weekly chart shows Wave 1(red) and a Wave 2(red) correction completed at the 200EMA level with a retracement 
between %50 and %62 level.

From there the price showed an impulsive move down that was rejected by the lower tendline;
A move that suggest the initial waves of Wave [i] of Wave 3(red).

Note Alternate #1 for a possible larger Wave (4) developing.



Daily Chart is showing the Wave (iii) (of Wave [i] of Wave 3(red)) completed in a sharp move down.

The rally after looks like an odd Wave (iv) correction that stalled between %62 and %76 retracement of Wave (iii);
Although the price has not yet move impulsively down as would be expected from Wave (v) on this count;
but that should be the next move...



4Hour Chart shows the 5 internal waves of Wave (iii) and the 3 internal waves for an expanded flat Wave (iv)
now stalled at the 200EMA between the %62 and %76 fibo retracement of Wave (iii).

Wave (iv) should complete at any time now, and should remain below 1.28708 for this count to remain valid.
Next, as per current count, expect the price to drop for a start of Wave (v).



60Min Chart shows a clear bounce from a raising wedge formation to what should be Wave 1(blue) completed under this count.






All the best for everyone and please do not hesitate to contact me if you have any questions or comments.

Andres

info@tradingwaves.org