Thu 25-04-2019
Hi everyone, hope you are all ok.
USDJPY
USDJPY has denayed the count I had ready and I updated the hourly and 4Hour charts to show the new count;
Wave (ii) is labelled now as still underway, with its internal Wave c yet to be completed.
Wave (iii) should take the price higher impulsively as soon as the current correction is completed.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
Weekly
USDCAD
USDCAD seems to have completed Wave (iii) at 1.3519 and now developing Wave (iv) correction.
The highest of Wave (i) at 1.3400 should now support the price from dropping lower.
Once Wave (iv) is completed, Wave (v) should carry the price higher again towards the 1.3560 areas of resistance.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
USDCHF
USDCHF has finally reached, and crossed the upper trend confirming Wave [iii] started (best pictured on the Daily Chart).
I can still not distinguish 5 clear Waves that follow the Elliot terms for Wave (i) but nevertheless the move has proved to be the start of Wave [iii] and has picked up momentum to break out of the long term triangle shown on the Daily chart.
In the hourly chart, the best that I can make for a Wave (i) and Wave (ii) correction is at the point of crossing the upper trend (blue).
I would expect another small correction towards the trend again but Wave [iii] has already confirmed to be on the way up; and it has a long way to match the length of Wave [i]; With an initial target for Wave [iii] above the 1.0300 area.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
EURUSD
EURUSD Wave (iii) has now completed and Wave (iv) correction is now underway.
Note that the price should not cross the lowest of Wave (i) at 1.1191 for this count to remain valid.
Next we should see the impulsive waves to continue to the downside for Wave (v) completion and the possibility and the next support level lies at 1.1060.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
EURCHF
EURCHF Wave (ii) has been developing an expanded flat correction (3,3,5) towards possibly the %38 retracement at 1.1340 area.
After the correction, Wave (iii) should continue taking the price extensively higher on the break out to the upside forming a Cup & Handle pattern.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
EURGBP
EURGBP is been moving in a corrective manner for a while on Wave ii and yesterday seems that it has been completed at the %76 retracement with a double top.
Note: There is potential for an extended Wave (ii) as an alternative count and the daily chart also shows an alternative count for a larger Wave [ii] to extend further.
As for the current count; Wave 3 should continue the impulsive waves down, after a small retracement for current Wave (ii), taking the price towards the 0.8500 support levels to complete its initial Wave 1 (blue).
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
Weekly
GBPUSD
GBPUSD is been moving slowly downwards and undecisevely to what might be Wave (iii) of Wave 3 of iii downwards (although hard to label its internal count).
Note: the Daily Chart shows an alternative count for an Extended Wave [c] correction to complete Wave 2(red) at the %50 retracement level (1.3517 area).
As per current count, Wave iii was confirmed as it crossed the lowest of Wave (i) at the 1.3000 level area and should continue lower towards the 1.2750 area.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
AUDUSD
Daily & 4Hour Charts:
AUDUSD 4Hour Chart is showing the price raising from the neckline of a clear Head & Shoulders pattern which is suggesting Wave (iii) could be finally making its way up.
Still not out of the woods yet, so further moves lower than this neckline would trigger the alternative count for an extended Wave [ii] going towards the %76 levels of support, although it is still possible an extended Wave [v] or even a further extended Wave 5, with not much resistance levels to stop the move down (best seen in the 4Hour and Daily charts) .
Hourly Chart:
Is playing a very awkward and hard to follow series of waves and yesterday I had to jump to an alternative count of 2 further Wave i and ii extended waves.
Next, for the bullish count to remain, Wave 3 should raise in its 5 internal waves up, possibly to the next resistance level around the 0.7300 area.
60Mins
4Hours
Daily
Weekly
All the best for everyone.
Andres